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A Multicriteria Risk Analysis to Evaluate Impacts of Forest Management Alternatives on Forest Health in Europe Ecology and Society
Duncker, Philipp; Albert-Ludwigs-University Freiburg, Institute for Forest Growth;; Gardiner, Barry; Forest Research, Northern Research Station;; Grodzki, Wojciech; Forest Research Institute, Department of Forest Management in Mountain Regions;; Langstrom, Bo; The Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Department of Ecology;; Netherer, Sigrid; University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Department of Forest and Soil Sciences, Institute of Forest Entomology, Forest Pathology, and Forest Protection;; Nicoll, Bruce; Forest Research, Northern Research Station;; Orazio, Christophe; IEFC - EFI Atlantic;; Schelhaas, Mart-Jan; Centre for Ecosystem Studies, Alterra;; Tojic, Karl; Albert-Ludwigs-University Freiburg, Institute for Forest Growth;.
Due to climate change, forests are likely to face new hazards, which may require adaptation of our existing silvicultural practices. However, it is difficult to imagine a forest management approach that can simultaneously minimize all risks of damage. Multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) has been developed to help decision makers choose between actions that require reaching a compromise among criteria of different weights. We adapted this method and produced a multicriteria risk analysis (MCRA) to compare the risk of damage associated with various forest management systems with a range of management intensity. The objective was to evaluate the effect of four forest management alternatives (FMAs) (i.e., close to nature, extensive management with combined...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports Palavras-chave: Abiotic; Biotic; Damage; Hazard; MCRA; Silviculture.
Ano: 2012
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Characterization of littoral erosion and submersion hazards in Brittany by historical approach ArchiMer
Henaff, Alain; Le Cornec, Erwan; Jabbar, Marie; Petre, Anne; Corfou, Jeremy; Le Drezen, Yann; Van Vliet-lanoe, B..
Knowledge regarding the systemic vulnerability of coastal territories to erosion and flood has progressed during the last decades thanks to the consideration of hazards but also of other components such as the stakes, the management and the social representations of the coastal risks. However, in numerous cases the development and urbanization of coastal territories submitted to the coastal risks continues. It results in the increase of exposed populations as well as in the increase of the cost of exposed properties, increasing in return their vulnerability. So, in the objective to improve the management strategies and to strengthen the memory of the risk, the need to specify the characteristics of hazards remains important. In this sense, the intensity,...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Risques côtiers; Aléa; Érosion côtière; Submersion marine; Caractérisation spatiale; Bretagne; Coastal risks; Hazard; Coastal erosion; Coastal flooding; Spatial characterization; Brittany.
Ano: 2018 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00638/75006/75785.pdf
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Preparing for catastrophic climate change AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov; Withagen, Cees.
We study optimal adaptation to climate change when the harmful consequences of global warming are associated with stochastic occurrence of abrupt changes. The adaptation policy entails the accumulation of a particular sort of capital that will eliminate or reduce the catastrophic damage of an abrupt climate change when (and if) it occurs. The occurrence date is uncertain. The policy problem involves balancing the tradeoffs between the (certain) investment cost prior to occurrence and the benefit (in reduced damage) that will be realized after the (uncertain) occurrence date. For stationary economies the optimal adaptation capital converges to a steady state. For growing economies the optimal adaptation capital stock approaches the maximal economic level...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Climate change; Adaptation; Hazard; Environmental Economics and Policy; O13; Q54.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/117652
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